In my 20 years as a transaction banker, I have witnessed countless examples of treasuries adopting the latest technologies, from the time when payment instructions were sent using fax machines, to payments themselves being sent and received almost instantaneously, to now more treasury interactions being moved onto blockchain.
Treasury’s adoption of the latest technologies is nothing new. For many companies, the treasury department has become more strategic precisely because it has moved at pace to seek out efficiency using technology. The digital transformation of the economy has dramatically increased both the volume and the velocity of payments –at HSBC, we process 142 payments per second, or 4.5 billion per year – which means spreadsheets and manually consolidated reports have become outmoded and are no longer enough to help treasuries meet business expectations.
At a recent HSBC event, our clients from wide-ranging industries shared views on the impact new technologies have had on businesses and treasuries. Clients showed eagerness to understand how emerging technologies can help them grow and differentiate.
One new-economy client has deployed predictive analytics in combination with a vast amount of internal and external data to improve the timeliness and accuracy of FX margins predictions. Another FI client has developed an AI-based engine to increase analytics capability to speed up and strengthen customer onboarding due diligence.
We have seen treasuries adopt basic versions of robotic process automation, machine learning and artificial intelligence. AI can aggregate data from various sources and format, process and analyse a massive amount of granular data to provide real-time consolidated views. In conjunction with some of the industry-wide developments – real-time payments and SWIFT ISO standards – treasurers can obtain greater visibility and insights to improve efficiency, making faster and more informed decisions.
With the right datasets in place, AI algorithms can help treasurers generate more accurate and timely cash flow forecasts. Machine learning can monitor patterns, identify anomalies and flag threats that may not be visible to human analysts.
At HSBC, one way we are implementing AI in treasury is by using machine learning to analyse a client’s historical payments data. When a client initiates a cross-border payment to a beneficiary account, our service FX Prompt automatically checks if the beneficiary account is in a different currency to the client’s – and if so, we invite the client to pay in the beneficiary account’s currency. This simple but powerful piece of intelligence provides the client with greater certainty and transparency of the exchange rate.
Whilst generative AI is relatively new, we are already very excited by the emergence of use-cases. One healthcare client has used sophisticated chatbots to produce comparative studies and recommendations on the selection process of banking partners.
Some of our new economy clients have acquired generative AI start-ups; others are using applications to improve scenario planning and treasury reporting. Generative AI has the power to bring treasury management to another level of efficiency and unlock the potential to be a more dynamic and strategic function of an organisation.
As with any new technology, generative AI will bring challenges as well as opportunities. Treasurers should carefully consider the risks of adopting generative AI, such as model bias, data quality and privacy control, auditability and explainability of decisions, and compliance with local and international standards.