Here in Nigeria, one of our key concerns is access to trade finance. Geopolitical challenges post-COVID-19 and the Ukraine/Russia war, coupled with domestic issues like low crude oil production and lack of transparency in the FX market, have led to significant liquidity challenges. These challenges resulted in import loan obligations not being honoured on maturity due to FX scarcity.
Even forwards sold by the Central Bank were not honoured, impacting the country risk assessment of many correspondent banks. Consequently, access to trade lines for local banks was initially highly priced and later restricted, limiting these lines for corporates.
Forex scarcity is another issue. Access to FX liquidity is a major impediment to trade. The inability to pay suppliers on time or offset import loans, thereby extending open positions, hampers trade activities. We are also experiencing high volatility in the USD/NGN exchange rate which disrupts trade and impacts FX rate stability. Frequent fluctuations make planning difficult and necessitate constant price adjustments.
Treasurers are also concerned about the evolving regulatory landscape and its impact on corporate treasury operations. Ensuring compliance while managing liquidity and financial risks is challenging due to constant regulatory changes. Recent economic reforms and monetary policies by the Central Bank of Nigeria have also significantly impacted liquidity and borrowing costs.
The increase in the cash reserve ratio and the monetary policy rate has tightened liquidity, making it more challenging for businesses to access funds. High interest rates aimed at curbing inflation have increased the cost of borrowing, putting additional pressure on companies’ financial health. Supply chain challenges and a lack of clarity in hedging solutions are also issues for treasurers.
Corporates are diversifying trade flows to explore internal sources and reduce dependence on FX or seek cheaper raw materials. There has been a reasonable increase in intra-African trade, possibly influenced by the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA). The rise of digital trade and e-commerce is reshaping trade patterns. Nigerian businesses are increasingly adopting digital platforms to reach global markets, streamline operations and reduce costs. Improvements in trade-related infrastructure, such as transportation and ICT, are facilitating smoother trade flows. Efficient infrastructure is critical for enhancing Nigeria’s trade competitiveness.
Tariffs and trade barriers, while protecting local industries and generating government revenue, often lead to higher costs, reduced consumer choice and potential trade conflicts. Specifically in Nigeria, they have been used to generate government revenue. In 2023, the Nigerian Customs Services collected ₦3.2trn in revenue, with estimates exceeding ₦6trn in 2024. They are also used to help shield local industries from international competition.
We are seeing the increased adoption of digital platforms. E-commerce and digital marketplaces are becoming more popular, allowing businesses to reach a wider audience and streamline operations. The Nigerian government has launched several initiatives to promote digital trade. The National Digital Economy Policy and Strategy (2020-2030) aims to leverage digital technology to drive economic growth, including improving digital infrastructure, enhancing digital literacy and promoting digital services.
Nigeria’s fintech sector is booming, with companies like Flutterwave and Paystack leading the way. These innovations make it easier for businesses to conduct transactions online, manage payments and access financial services. There is a strong focus on developing digital skills among the Nigerian workforce. Initiatives by both the government and private sector aim to equip individuals with the necessary skills to thrive in a digital economy.