• Lightning highlighting the night sky

    Geopolitical storms

    Watching the people get lairy, it’s not very pretty I tell thee, walking through town is quite scary, it’s not very sensible either, I predict a riot, I predict a riot – Kaiser Chiefs.

  • Global economy picking up

    Despite the turmoil caused by President Trump’s ‘America first’ stance and the controversial measures announced in his first few weeks in office, the global economy seems to be gaining momentum.

  • Fiscal stimulus, austerity and sustaining global growth – what does 2017 have in store?

    Certain governments have overseen austerity policies of late but are there signs they are, perhaps, slowly loosening the reins again? Real growth is difficult to sustain and we have recently witnessed the will of the people of the UK and US when called to the ballot boxes in their respective countries. Elections are due to take place in the Netherlands, France, Germany and elsewhere so governments will come under yet greater scrutiny to give their economies the boost they need but is more government stimulus the answer?

  • Neurons

    Large-scale fiscal stimulus will end low volatility period in financial markets

    It is very interesting from a European or a US perspective to follow what the Bank of Japan does with regard to monetary policy, because the Japanese central bank is often a ‘testing ground’ for the Fed and the ECB. This is mainly because Japan has been battling low growth and the risk of deflation for much longer than the US and Europe.

  • Man climbing side of a cave at sunset

    Brexit advice needed?

    The global economy faces an uphill struggle in the months, and years, to come. But, in the words of the late, great Muhammad Ali: “It isn’t the mountains ahead to climb that wear you out; it’s the pebble in your shoe.”

  • Central banks will successfully chase higher inflation

    There is a state of imbalance in the current climate, and it cannot continue. At some point, keeping the economy afloat by allowing debts to soar (even) higher, meaning that negative interest rates are required to ensure borrowing continues, will not be possible. Here, we take a close look at the sheer complexity and, at times, idiocy of the present situation and why inflation is the preferred solution.

  • MENA: Europe’s nemesis?

    The European Union (EU) is facing some strong headwinds, as geopolitical forces globally appear to be pushing it in the direction of disintegration. With borders being closed across the continent, the lack of a comprehensive, and unanimously agreed upon, strong foreign and security policy threatens EU economic revival, as countries across Europe have seen.

  • 2016: major change in monetary policy and more volatility

    Nearly a decade after the financial crisis, it is pertinent to reflect on how far global markets have come. In doing so, however, one thing is clear: although economies across the world, developed and emerging, all heavily influence one another, they are increasingly out of step.

  • Europe strains under the pressure of migrant crisis

    Following the Grexit dilemma and increasing worries over Russian aggression, Europe now has another contentious issue to tackle: the migrant crisis. Given its threat to EU relations and integration, amongst serious moral concerns, the continent is certainly feeling the strain.

  • More volatile markets on the horizon

    As loose monetary policy starts to look like part of the problem rather than the solution, lingering sluggish growth and rising debt are a recipe for more volatile financial markets. Since the best solution, to implement rapid far-reaching reforms, is politically unfeasible, ECR Research asks: what is the answer?