• Rising interest rates as central banks seek higher inflation

    Getting monetary policy right in an uncertain environment can be extremely difficult: following the credit crisis, even minimal interest rates did not prove sufficient in stimulating recovery. Central banks now face the difficult task of maintaining an extremely loose monetary policy without creating too much inflation, or asset price bubbles, says ECR Research.

  • Cracks in globalisation and EU to break euro

    Despite the rise of globalisation and rapid advances in technology, geopolitics is once again starting to play a key role in Europe. What does this mean for European leaders, and what will be the impact on the future of the euro? ECR Research investigates.

  • US economy improving: but how much?

    Most economists assume that US growth over the coming year will be close to 3%. However, this figure could in fact end up being much higher. And while the Fed believes inflation is not a threat, and that it has every reason to keep interest rates as low as possible to ensure maximum economic growth – we should expect more, not fewer, rate hikes in the future, says ECR Research.

  • European parliamentary elections increasingly important

    Recent events in the Crimean peninsula have shifted the focus back onto the balance of power between global superpowers. While defence spending in the West has fallen in recent years, Russia and China have forged ahead in developing their armies. Europe now faces irrelevancy unless it can foster closer military and economic collaboration, says ECR Research.

  • Bright spots or black hole?

    As its members become ever more polarised as to what the solution to stagnant growth in certain member countries might be, Europe is facing an uphill battle to achieve some semblance of unity. With a growing debt burden and limited options available to address it, tensions are rising, says ECR Research.

  • Accelerating US growth will affect long-term interest rates worldwide

    Recent data suggests that the US economy is growing faster than the Fed anticipated. This high growth in the US, paired with low interest rates, could create a cycle of increased lending and still further growth that would put upward pressure on bond yields worldwide. Despite vowing not to raise the short-term interest rate, the Fed may have to act in order to stem inflation and prevent a knock-on effect abroad.

  • Europe – happy but perhaps not such a prosperous new year

    European markets are still in high spirits. Yet, regardless of momentary windfalls, the overall trend for Europe remains dour. Before long we can expect rising Eurozone tensions rather than surging markets.

  • Europe: a safe haven for investors?

    Despite a stable currency, the Eurozone economic situation still contains many hazards that have yet to be resolved. As a result, the region remains in a period of tension, which could quite possibly have a downward effect on the euro in the future.

  • Is Citi right or wrong about Asia’s economic growth potential?

    Citi’s CEO for Asia Pacific, Stephen Bird, has predicted meteoric economic growth for both China and India, to become the largest and third largest economies by 2030. However, there are many challenges that still need to be overcome for this prediction to become a reality, not least intraregional tensions between nations.

  • No free lunches

    Printing money may seem like an easy way out of a crisis, but such action comes at a price. With the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet quadrupling in just a few years, what price will the US have to pay?